UAL CORPORATION REPORTS THIRD QUARTER 2008 RESULTS
October 21, 2008

               DELIVERING COMPETITIVE REVENUE, CONTROLLING COSTS, AND EXECUTING ON PLAN TO
                                                                          RETURN TO PROFITABILITY


CHICAGO
, Oct. 21, 2008 – UAL Corporation (NASDAQ: UAUA), the holding company whose primary subsidiary is United Airlines, reported a third quarter net loss of $779 million or $252 million, if non-cash, net mark-to-market losses on fuel hedge contracts and certain accounting charges are excluded, despite an increase of $946 million in consolidated fuel expense.  For the third quarter ended Sept. 30, 2008, the company:

·          Reported basic and diluted loss per share of $1.99 excluding non-cash, net mark-to-market hedge losses and certain accounting charges outlined in note 5. United’s reported GAAP loss per share was $6.13.

 

·          Recorded $519 million in non-cash, net mark-to-market losses on its fuel hedge contracts, as a result of the drop in oil prices at the end of the quarter. The company recorded a cash gain of $17 million on contracts that settled during the quarter bringing its consolidated cash fuel expense to $2.5 billion, $946 million higher than the prior year.

 

·          Reported a 6.1 percent increase year-over-year in mainline passenger unit revenue (PRASM), excluding special items and Mileage Plus accounting impacts. Including these items, mainline PRASM increased 4.5 percent year-over-year.

 

·          Demonstrated good cost control while reducing capacity, with mainline cost per available seat mile (CASM), excluding fuel and certain accounting charges, flat versus the same period in 2007, despite 4.0 percent lower capacity. Mainline CASM including fuel and certain accounting charges for the quarter was up 30.8 percent versus the third quarter of 2007, reflecting a 96.4 percent increase in mainline fuel price per gallon including non-cash, net mark-to-market hedge losses.

 

·         Raised $1.4 billion in cash through various activities including aircraft financings, asset sales and amending its credit card agreements. 

 

 

“While today’s weak economic environment challenges our industry as demand softens, that same economic environment has caused oil prices to significantly decline from the unprecedented highs we witnessed earlier this year, suggesting significantly lower industry costs and improving operating margin,” said Glenn Tilton, United chairman, president and CEO. “We are taking the action required to return to profitability and continue to strengthen our liquidity while simultaneously improving the operating fundamentals to deliver the results our shareholders and customers expect.”

 

 

Quarterly Net Loss Driven By High Fuel Prices and Non-Cash, Net Mark-to-Market Losses  

 

The company recorded a $519 million non-cash, net mark-to-market losses on its fuel hedge contracts during the quarter as a result of the recent drop in the price of oil.   The non-cash loss reflects the change in book value of the hedges during the quarter. Should fuel prices stay at lower levels, over time the company will enjoy lower prices on its unhedged fuel purchases offsetting cash losses that might be incurred at contract settlement. On a cash basis, the hedges that settled during the quarter resulted in a gain of $17 million.  At the end of the quarter, the fair value of the outstanding fuel hedge contracts was negative $230 million.  

 

Excluding the non-cash, net mark-to-market hedge loss and certain accounting charges outlined in note 5, in the third quarter of 2008 the company generated an operating loss of $150 million, versus operating income of $592 million last year primarily as a result of the $946 million increase in consolidated cash fuel expense.   The significant increase in average cash fuel price caused the company to generate a net loss, excluding the non-cash, net mark-to-market hedge losses and certain accounting charges, of $252 million in the third quarter of 2008.   Including the non-cash, net mark-to-market hedge losses and certain accounting charges, the company reported an operating loss for the quarter of $491 million and a net loss of $779 million.

 

Because of its net operating loss carry-forwards, the company expects to pay minimal cash taxes for the foreseeable future and is not recording incremental tax benefits at this time.

 

Strengthened Cash Position

As previously announced, the company received approximately $1.4 billion through various transactions it closed during the quarter.   This includes approximately $1 billion from revising the Chase Bank U.S.A., N.A. and Paymentech L.L.C. contracts, $300 million in new aircraft financings, $50 million from the release of restricted cash, and $43 million in proceeds from asset sales. 

 

The agreements with Chase and Paymentech will improve United's liquidity by an additional $200 million over the next two years. 

 

During the fourth quarter, based on closed transactions and agreements in principle (subject to final documentation and other conditions), the company received approximately $65 million from aircraft financings and also expects to receive approximately $120 million through the sale of various assets.  This includes the sale of a number of B737s that are being retired as part of our capacity reduction plan. This week the company signed an agreement in principle on an additional aircraft financing worth approximately $150 million.

 

Higher fuel prices caused the company to have negative operating and free cash flow during the quarter. The company generated negative $387 million of operating cash flow and negative $490 million of free cash flow, defined as operating cash flow less capital expenditures.

 

The company ended the quarter with an unrestricted cash balance of $2.9 billion, restricted cash balance of $248 million and $378 million in cash deposits held by its fuel hedge counterparties.  

 

“We are ensuring that United is well positioned in this difficult market: we have minimal capital obligations and we have been able to raise $1.4 billion, including a $125 million financing that closed just a few weeks ago in a very tough credit market,” said Kathryn Mikells, United’s incoming CFO. "We continue the work to further enhance liquidity and our $3.0 billion in unencumbered assets provide us with critical financial and operational flexibility."

 

Accelerating Revenue Growth, Good Cost Control and Improving Operating Performance

 

“We are pursuing an aggressive agenda to improve the fundamental performance of United,” said John Tague, executive vice president and chief operating officer. “We are seeing results against that plan: we are delivering good cost control, even as we reduce capacity, and we continue to produce solid revenue growth by further honing our network, and putting more choice in the hands of customers with products they value and are willing to pay for.”

 

Mainline RASM, excluding special items and Mileage Plus accounting impacts, increased by 6.2 percent year-over-year from the third quarter of 2007 due to strong passenger and cargo yield performance which more than offset lower passenger load factors.  Including special items and Mileage Plus accounting impacts, mainline RASM increased by 4.8 percent year-over-year.

 

The company’s cargo business continued its strong performance with a 10.6 percent year-over-year increase in revenue. Higher fuel surcharges, foreign exchange gains and strong yield improvements contributed to the cargo revenue increase.

 

Total passenger revenues excluding special items increased by 1.4 percent in the third quarter compared to the prior year as a result of a 7.1 percent gain in consolidated yield, more than offsetting the 1.6 point decline in system load factor and 3.6 percent decline in consolidated capacity.  Mainline domestic PRASM for the quarter excluding special items and Mileage Plus accounting impacts was up by 6.9 percent, aided by a 6.2 percent reduction in capacity; including these items, mainline domestic PRASM increased by 5.6 percent.   In September mainline domestic PRASM, excluding special items and Mileage Plus accounting impacts was up 11 percent year over year driven by a 10.8 percent reduction in capacity; including these items mainline domestic PRASM increased by 7.0 percent.  International PRASM excluding special items and Mileage Plus accounting impacts grew 5.0 percent in the third quarter compared to the same period last year, on a 0.8 percent decrease in international capacity year-over-year; including these items, international PRASM increased 3.3 percent.

 

Regional affiliate PRASM, excluding special items and Mileage Plus accounting impacts, was up 2.4 percent compared to last year, with a 4.9 percent increase in yield and flat capacity; including these items regional affiliate PRASM increased by 0.9 percent. Load factor for regional affiliates decreased 1.9 points in the third quarter of 2008 compared to the third quarter of 2007, while stage length for regional affiliates was up 4.2 percent for the same period.

 

 

 

 

Comparison of 2008 Third Quarter Geographic Passenger Revenue

  Excluding Special Items Versus 2007 Third Quarter

Geographic Area

 

3Q 2008 Passenger  Revenue           

(millions)

 

  Passenger   Revenue

% Increase/ (Decrease)

Adjusted PRASM1      

% Increase/ (Decrease)

PRASM2

% Increase/ (Decrease)

ASM3

% Increase/ (Decrease)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Domestic

 

2,530

 

(0.1%)

6.9%

6.5%

(6.2%)

Pacific

 

866

 

(4.8%)

4.8%

4.2%

(8.6%)

Atlantic

 

759

 

14.2%

2.6%

1.9%

12.0%

Latin America

 

125

 

5.7%

10.5%

9.7%

(3.7%)

Total Mainline

 

4,280

 

1.3%

6.1%

5.4%

(4.0%)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Regional Affiliates

 

834

 

1.9%

2.4%

1.9%

0.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Consolidated

 

5,114

 

1.4%

5.7%

5.2%

(3.6%)

1PRASM adjusted for Mileage Plus effects (See Footnote 5).

2PRASM excludes special items which adds approximately 0.9 percentage points to the growth rate

3ASM (available seat miles)

 

 

Good Cost Performance

Third quarter mainline CASM, excluding fuel and certain accounting charges, was flat versus last year at 7.71 cents, despite a 4.0 percent decrease in mainline capacity, demonstrating United’s continued focus on controlling non-fuel costs.  Mainline CASM, including fuel but excluding the non-cash, net mark-to-market losses and certain accounting charges, increased 21.6 percent to 13.78 cents.    Including the mark-to-market losses and certain accounting charges, mainline CASM increased by 30.8 percent year-over-year to 14.75 cents, reflecting the steep increase in fuel price on average during the quarter as well as the large non-cash, net mark-to-market accounting loss driven by the sharp decline in the price of oil experienced at the end of the quarter. 

 

 

 

 

 

Third Quarter Increase/(Decrease)

 

 

Mainline

 

Consolidated

 

2008

2007

% Chg.

 

2008

2007

% Chg.

CASM (cents)

14.75

11.28

30.8%

 

15.42

11.96

28.9%

CASM excluding certain accounting charges and non-cash, net mark-to-market losses (cents)

13.78

11.33

21.6%

 

14.55

12.01

21.1%

CASM excluding fuel and certain accounting charges (cents)

7.71

7.71

-

 

8.17

8.19

(0.2%)

 

The company has classified the majority of its various fuel hedging positions as economic hedges for accounting purposes.   Gains and losses on economic hedges are included in the fuel expense line while gains and losses from hedges that do not qualify as economic hedges are recorded in the non-operating expense line.   

 

 

Three Months Ending Sept. 30, 2008

(in millions)

 

Included In Fuel Expense

 

Included in Non-Operating Expense

 

Total

Non-cash, net mark-to-market loss

($336)

 

  ($183)

 

($519)

Cash net gain/(loss) on settled contracts

$39

 

  ($22)

 

$17

Total recognized net gains/(losses)

($297)

 

      ($205)

 

($502)

 

Actions to Improve Operating Performance

The company continues its efforts to improve operational performance, improving execution, increasing average scheduled ground time and adding spare aircraft.  This, coupled with the reduction in ground delays resulting from the industry-wide cut in capacity, has begun to yield improvements in the company’s on-time performance. For the third quarter the company recorded its best on-time arrival performance since 2006. 

 

 

 

Business Highlights

 

  • United and Westin Hotels & Resorts launched a new level of comfort with the Westin Heavenly® Bed products and signature amenities for first and business class customers who fly United’s p.s. service. 

 

  • United and Aer Lingus announced the beginning of their codesharing agreement by enabling United customers to book connecting flights on Aer Lingus’ network for travel starting Nov. 1, 2008.    Beginning in April 2009, Aer Lingus will place its code on United Airlines domestic flights giving customers access to United’s entire North American network.

 

·        United filed an application, along with eight other Star Alliance members, with the U.S. Department of Transportation (DOT) for antitrust immunity with Continental.  In addition the company requested DOT approval to establish a trans-Atlantic joint venture, with Continental, Lufthansa and Air Canada.  Approval would allow the carriers to work closely together to deliver highly competitive flight schedules, fares and service.  

 

  • United began its new premium service to Asia with its newly reconfigured Boeing 747.  Customers in United First and United Business on newly reconfigured aircraft may enjoy more than 150 hours of movies and television shows on-demand; relax with fully lie-flat seats; and dine on appetizers and entrees designed by world-renowned chef Charlie Trotter on outbound U.S. flights.

 

  • United announced the availability of Award Accelerator SM, a new offering that allows customers to purchase redeemable Mileage Plus miles in addition to the miles they are already earning on a specific itinerary. Miles available for purchase in most cases are based on the actual flown mileage of each leg of the trip. 

 

  • United announced policy changes to improve travel for active duty military personnel, including complimentary, space available access to United’s spacious Economy Plus® seating area and the ability to check up to three bags free of charge.

 

  • United increased the service fee to check a second bag on a domestic flight from $25 to $50 one way.

 

Outlook

The company’s capacity outlook for the fourth quarter, full year 2008 and the full year 2009 is shown below. 

Capacity

(Available Seat Miles)

 

Fourth Quarter

2008

 

Full-year

2008

 

Full-year

2009

(versus 2008)

Domestic

 

-15.5% to -14.5%

 

-8.5% to -7.5%

 

-13.5% to -12.5%

International

 

-9.0% to -8.0%

 

+0.5% to +1.5%

 

-8.0% to -7.0%

Mainline

 

-12.5% to -11.5%

 

-5.0% to -4.0%

 

-11.0% to -10.0%

Express

 

-2.5% to -1.5%

 

-1.5% to -0.5%

 

+6.5% to +7.5%

   Consolidated Domestic

 

-13.0% to -12.0%

 

-7.5% to -6.5%

 

-10.0% to -9.0%

Consolidated

 

-11.5% to -10.5%

 

-4.5% to -3.5%

 

-9.0% to -8.0%

 

For the fourth quarter, mainline CASM, excluding fuel and certain accounting charges, is anticipated to increase between 2.5 and 3.5 percent.   The company is on track to fully achieve its $500 million cost reduction program by the end of 2008. The company expects CASM, excluding fuel and certain accounting charges to increase between 1.5 and 2.0 percent for the full year 2008.

 

As previously announced, the company has also limited its non-aircraft capital budget to $450 million for 2008, $200 million less than originally planned.  

 


 

 

Hedge Positions as of Oct. 17, 2008

Hedging Instrument

 

% of Expected Consolidated Consumption

 

% of Expected Mainline Consumption

 

Average Price where Payment Obligations Stop

 

Average Price where Payment Obligations Begin

 

Average Price where Protection Begins

 

Average Price where Protection Stops

4th Quarter 2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Collars

 

16%

 

19%

 

N/A

 

$99bbl

 

$109bbl

 

N/A

3-Way Collars

 

33%

 

39%

 

N/A

 

$107bbl

 

$113bbl

 

$133bbl

4th Qtr 2008 Total

 

49%

 

58%

 

N/A

 

$104bbl

 

$112bbl

 

N/A

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Full Year 2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Calls

 

6%

 

7%

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

$106bbl

 

N/A

Collars

 

3%

 

4%

 

N/A

 

$109bbl

 

$119bbl

 

N/A

3-Way Collars

 

18%

 

22%

 

N/A

 

$102bbl

 

$117bbl

 

$145bbl

4-Way Collars

 

1%

 

2%

 

$63bbl

 

$78bbl

 

$95bbl

 

$135bbl

Full Yr 2009 Total

 

28%

 

34%

 

N/A

 

$101bbl

 

$114bbl

 

N/A

 

The company estimates the following fuel prices for the fourth quarter.

Mainline Fuel Price (Price per Gallon) 1

 

Three Months Ending Dec. 31, 2008

Mainline Fuel price including taxes and excluding impact of hedges

 

$2.88

Mainline Fuel price including taxes and cash net gains or losses on settled hedges2

 

$3.01

Mainline Fuel price including taxes and impact of mark to market net losses on settled and unsettled hedges2

 

$3.30

1Assumes average crude oil price of $80 per barrel

2Includes only the hedge gains/losses that are accounted for in the fuel expense line

 

Fresh Start Reporting

Upon emergence from its Chapter 11 reorganization in February 2006, the company adopted fresh-start reporting in accordance with SOP 90-7. The company’s emergence resulted in a new reporting entity with no retained earnings or accumulated deficit as of Feb. 1, 2006. Accordingly, the company’s financial information shown for periods prior to Feb. 1, 2006, is not comparable to consolidated financial statements presented on or after that date. For further discussion of fresh-start reporting, please refer to the company’s 2006 and 2007 Form 10-Ks as filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

 

To offer additional information for investors, the company has identified certain items consisting only of major non-cash fresh-start reporting and exit-related credits and charges (Note 6 and 7). While it is not practical for the company to present information for all items that are not comparable in the pre- and post-exit periods, the company believes that the items identified in Note 6 and 7 are the material non-cash fresh-start reporting and exit-related items and that such information is useful to investors in understanding year-over-year performance. These fresh-start and exit-related items are discussed in the company’s 2006 and 2007 Form 10-Ks.

 

Notes 5 and 8  to the attached Statements of Consolidated Operations provide a reconciliation of net income or loss reported under GAAP to net income or loss adjusted for special items and accounting charges for all periods presented as well as a reconciliation of other non-GAAP financial measures.

 

 

About United

United Airlines (NASDAQ:  UAUA) operates more than 3,000* flights a day on United and United Express to more than 200 U.S. domestic and international destinations from its hubs in Los Angeles, San Francisco, Denver, Chicago and Washington, D.C.  With key global air rights in the Asia-Pacific region, Europe and Latin America, United is one of the largest international carriers based in the United States.  United also is a founding member of Star Alliance, which provides connections for our customers to 975 destinations in 162 countries worldwide.  United's 52,000 employees reside in every U.S. state and in many countries around the world.  News releases and other information about United can be found at the company's Web site at united.com.

*Based on United's flight schedule between Oct. 1, 2008, and Oct. 1, 2009.

 

 

Safe Harbor Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995:  Certain statements included in this press release are forward-looking and thus reflect the company’s current expectations and beliefs with respect to certain current and future events and financial performance.  Such forward-looking statements are and will be subject to many risks and uncertainties relating to the operations and business environment of the company that may cause actual results to differ materially from any future results expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements.  Factors that could significantly affect net earnings, revenues, expenses, costs, load factor and capacity include, without limitation, the following: the company’s ability to comply with the terms of its credit facility; the costs and availability of financing; the company’s ability to execute its business plan; the company’s ability to realize benefits from its resource optimization efforts and cost reduction initiatives; the company’s ability to attract, motivate and/or retain key employees; the company’s ability to attract and retain customers; demand for transportation in the markets in which the company operates; general economic conditions (including interest rates, foreign currency exchange rates, investment or credit market conditions, crude oil prices and energy refining capacity in relevant markets); the effects of any hostilities or act of war or any terrorist attack; the ability of other air carriers with whom the company has alliances or partnerships to provide the services contemplated by the respective arrangements with such carriers; the costs and availability of aircraft insurance; the costs of jet fuel; our ability to cost-effectively hedge against increases in the price of jet fuel; any potential realized or unrealized gains or losses related to fuel or currency hedging programs; the costs associated with security measures and practices; labor costs; industry consolidation; competitive pressures on pricing and on demand; capacity decisions of United and/or its competitors; U.S. or foreign governmental legislation, regulation and other actions, including the effect of open skies agreements; the company’s ability to utilize its net operating losses; the ability of the company to maintain satisfactory labor relations and our ability to avoid any disruptions to operations due to any potential actions by our labor groups; weather conditions; and other risks and uncertainties set forth from time to time in UAL’s reports to the United States Securities and Exchange Commission. Consequently, the forward-looking statements should not be regarded as representations or warranties by the company that such matters will be realized.  The company disclaims any intent or obligation to update or revise any of the forward-looking statements, whether in response to new information, unforeseen events, changed circumstances or otherwise.

 

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